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Analyst: Rate Cut Expectation Heating Up in Tandem with SEC's New Policy, Market Sentiment Improving
BlockBeats News, August 4th, according to The Block, Vincent Liu, Chief Investment Officer of Kronos Research, stated that amidst macro uncertainty and institutional buying, the current market is showing a sense of "cautious optimism." The Fear and Greed Index is trending towards "greed," whale accumulation and rate cut expectations are driving traders to reallocate risk assets.
Investors are focusing on the U.S. July CPI data, which will be released on August 12th, as a key indicator for the next interest rate hike or cut decision. Despite the Fed maintaining rates at the July FOMC meeting and Powell stating that a September rate cut still depends on economic data, CME FedWatch data shows that the market expects a more than 80% probability of a 0.25 percentage point cut.
Furthermore, Liu believes that the U.S. SEC's "Project Crypto" could benefit the market in the medium to long term. This project will reduce regulatory uncertainty, drive DeFi growth, and boost market confidence by clarifying token classification and introducing a DeFi innovation exemption mechanism.
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