Previous Bitcoin Cycles Analyzed, New Peak Emerges for BTC Price – Pay Close Attention to This Level
By: cryptosheadlines|2025/05/16 04:00:12
0
Share
Airdrop Is Live CaryptosHeadlines Media Has Launched Its Native Token CHT. Airdrop Is Live For Everyone, Claim Instant 5000 CHT Tokens Worth Of $50 USDT. Join the Airdrop at the official website, CryptosHeadlinesToken.com Cryptocurrency analysis company Alphractal, in its new statement evaluating Bitcoin’s long-term price movements, pointed out that BTC takes on a more mature and consolidated structure with each new cycle.According to Alphractal’s analysis, Bitcoin historically reaches cycle peaks at multiples of the 2-year moving average (2Y SMA), but these peaks occur at lower multiples with each new cycle, indicating that the market is maturing and volatility is decreasing.The company summarized the peaks in past cycles as follows:In the early periods, Bitcoin peaked at 2Y SMA ×15 levels.In 2017, this multiplier dropped to 10.In the 2021 cycle, there was a decline first to ×5, then to ×2.65 levels.In the most recent cycle, Bitcoin failed to re-exceed the 2.65 multiplier, suggesting that gains are narrowing and the market is becoming more stable.Alphractal noted that the current 2Y SMA ×2.65 level is around $159,000, adding that this level will be a significant resistance point if Bitcoin gains momentum.Finally, the company stated, “Although gains are more narrowly realized, the potential to move well beyond the 2-year average in each cycle is still live, indicating continued long-term strength in the market.”*This is not investment advice.Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!Source link
You may also like

Oracle "Outage": Aave Faces $27 Million Irregular Liquidation
The guardian has turned into the reaper. An internal configuration mistake caused the largest DeFi lending protocol to **accidentally** liquidate 34 accounts.

A single tweet caused a 17% crash in oil prices, who's not a Meme yet
From the Petrodollar to the Meme Era: Why a Single Tweet Tanked Global Oil Prices

March 11th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?
1. On-chain Fund: $47.1M inflow to Hyperliquid today; $75.4M outflow from Ethereum
2. Largest Price Swings: $XAI, $BTW
3. Top News: G7 Pre-Summit Pledge to "Principally Support Strategic Crude Oil Reserve Use"; Four Whales Open Large Short Positions Against Crude Oil Today

Benefit-Loaded Event | With over 500 sign-ups, how else can this Lobster Tug-of-War Extravaganza be spiced up?
Sign Up Now!

a16z’s Brutal Lesson to Crypto Founders: Why Enterprises Don’t Buy the Best Technology?
If your product is "obviously better" but still can't win, the gap lies not in performance, but in product-market fit.

The rivers and lakes are no more, Li Lin returns
We no longer need a larger exchange or more complex financial products; we hope to see more individuals like Li Lin in the industry, who can drive innovations that truly open up boundaries for the industry.

Earn Up to 300% APR With WEEX Auto Earn: Limited-Time Crypto Passive Income Event
Earn up to 300% APR with WEEX Auto Earn in this limited-time crypto earning campaign. Activate Auto Earn, invite friends, and unlock additional referral crypto rewards before March 25.

BitsLab Deep Production: Nanobot User Security Practice Guide
BitsLab releases AI Agent Security Guidelines: Through a three-pronged strategy of "User Review + Agent Awareness + Script Hard Interception," a zero-trust security defense line is established to prevent prompt injection and sensitive data leakage risks.

What are the common traits of people who founded a $5 Billion+ company before the age of 23?
Trauma, Neurodiversity, Cross-Domain Skills. These characteristics, which may appear as "flaws" on a traditional resume, could instead be the most important signals

Why Hasn't $160 Billion Stripe Gone Public?
The Rise of Private Placements, with Companies like Stripe Rewriting Fundraising Logic.

All the AI News You Need to Know is Here, Lyrical Officially Launches AI News Feed
Users can access key information in real time without switching pages

Bitwise: Why Bitcoin Is Destined to Impact a Million Dollars?
When people talk about Bitcoin, they often overlook one key thing.

Amid Geopolitical Turmoil, Tokenized Gold Emerges Alongside Round-the-Clock On-Chain Markets
When the stock market is closed, the on-chain becomes the sole trading and pricing outlet.

Who Longs War on Polymarket?
The Rug Pull War rages on, with the potential to earn up to 4x gains on your bet

4 AI Trading Strategy Lessons from WEEX Hackathon Finalist
Finalist Bambi shares how AI tools helped turn real trading experience into an automated strategy, why survival-first risk control shaped the system’s design, and how the approach will evolve ahead of WEEX AI Trading Hackathon Season 2.

Hong Kong Crypto Ecosystem 2.0: Stablecoins, RWA, and the New Battleground for Financial Institutions
Hong Kong is no longer just a bystander in the cryptocurrency industry, but may become the core hub of the compliant cryptocurrency market in the Chinese-speaking world and even the entire Asia-Pacific region.

Polymarket Arbitrage Bible: The Real Gap is in the Mathematical Infrastructure
While retail investors are still engaged in simple probability addition, top quantitative teams are systematically harvesting millions of dollars in arbitrage profits on Polymarket using hardcore mathematical infrastructure such as integer programming and Bregman projections.

Crypto Barbarians Jupiter Series: Still Owes the Market an Answer
This entrepreneurial team from Singapore and Malaysia has indeed demonstrated its product execution capabilities to the market over the past three years, but they have also fully arbitraged every regulatory gray area with their business logic.
Oracle "Outage": Aave Faces $27 Million Irregular Liquidation
The guardian has turned into the reaper. An internal configuration mistake caused the largest DeFi lending protocol to **accidentally** liquidate 34 accounts.
A single tweet caused a 17% crash in oil prices, who's not a Meme yet
From the Petrodollar to the Meme Era: Why a Single Tweet Tanked Global Oil Prices
March 11th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?
1. On-chain Fund: $47.1M inflow to Hyperliquid today; $75.4M outflow from Ethereum
2. Largest Price Swings: $XAI, $BTW
3. Top News: G7 Pre-Summit Pledge to "Principally Support Strategic Crude Oil Reserve Use"; Four Whales Open Large Short Positions Against Crude Oil Today
Benefit-Loaded Event | With over 500 sign-ups, how else can this Lobster Tug-of-War Extravaganza be spiced up?
Sign Up Now!
a16z’s Brutal Lesson to Crypto Founders: Why Enterprises Don’t Buy the Best Technology?
If your product is "obviously better" but still can't win, the gap lies not in performance, but in product-market fit.
The rivers and lakes are no more, Li Lin returns
We no longer need a larger exchange or more complex financial products; we hope to see more individuals like Li Lin in the industry, who can drive innovations that truly open up boundaries for the industry.