Why Is Crypto Down Today? – January 29, 2026

By: crypto insight|2026/01/30 05:00:00
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Key Takeaways

  • The crypto market has fallen by 1.7% over the past 24 hours, with significant declines in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.
  • The decline follows the United States Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and a stagnation in fresh capital inflows.
  • Bitcoin is experiencing consolidation between $88,000–$91,000, remaining stable amidst slight rate changes and geopolitical stress.
  • The crypto fear and greed index registered a minor rise but remains in the fear zone, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-01-29 17:29:05

The crypto market witnessed a notable downturn today, declining by 1.7% and reaching a total market capitalization of $3.06 trillion. This descent was mirrored by 90 of the top 100 cryptocurrencies, depicting a bearish sentiment throughout the market. The decrease in value comes after a brief surge, highlighting the volatility that characterizes the crypto landscape.

Market Performance and Influences

On the morning of January 29, 2026, the market’s fluidity was evident, revealing both winners and losers among the major cryptocurrencies. In the leading category, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a decline of 1.7%, returning to its previous day’s rate with a trading price of $87,820. Ethereum (ETH) also took a hit, dropping 2.5% to $2,942. Such movements underline the broader market’s current struggles, exacerbated by external pressures like geopolitical tensions and the stringent stance of the US Federal Reserve.

Dogecoin (DOGE) emerged as the hardest hit with a 4.5% drop, decreasing to $0.1214, while Solana (SOL) registered a 3.4% decline to $122. Conversely, Binance Coin (BNB) showed resilience, posting the smallest decrease among its peers, down by just 1%, settling at $896. Surprisingly, Tron (TRX) bucked the trend, inching up 0.8% to $0.2945, the sole gainer among the leading currencies.

Trends and Analysis

The overall market sentiment is currently governed by caution, underscored by the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold steady on interest rates between 3.50% and 3.75%. This decision reflects broader economic analyses that suggest a persistence in existing liquidity levels, which, while supportive of risk assets, does not lead to an immediate tightening of financial conditions. Gracy Chen, CEO at Bitget, remarked that this period of consolidation, characterized by a hold on aggressive monetary tightening, presents both an opportunity and a challenge for cryptocurrencies to maintain stability.

Broader Economic Impacts

The Federal Reserve’s ongoing strategy can be perceived as a double-edged sword. On one hand, it offers the crypto market a stable environment to regroup; on the other, it imposes limitations on how far the market can progress without additional fiscal stimuli or a shift in policy. With quantitative tightening continuing unabated, as noted by Jimmy Xue, co-founder of Axis, the ‘debasement trade’ remains the key motivator, propelling assets like Bitcoin to serve as hedges in a time where traditional financial institutions face increased scrutiny.

Market Sentiment and Future Projections

Market sentiment, gauged through the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, shows a minor improvement, currently standing at 38, up from 34 the previous day. However, it remains lodged in the fear zone, suggesting caution among investors. This cautious optimism reflects in the market’s trading volumes, which hover around $124 billion.

The journey for Bitcoin and Ethereum seems to be one of consolidation, with Bitcoin projected to oscillate between $88,000 and $91,000. Efforts to breach the near-term resistance at $95,000 remain on traders’ radars, although broad rally prospects appear subdued amid unchanged macroeconomic conditions. Ethereum finds itself balancing between contraction and a hopeful return to its psychological $3,000 mark, with dips potentially lowering it further to $2,650 should market stress not alleviate.

ETF Performance

Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the Bitcoin sector posted mixed results, with the US BTC ETFs revealing an outflow of $19.64 million. Total net inflows receded to $56.33 billion as of January 28, illustrating the current market’s uncertainty. Fidelity showed some strength by posting inflows of $19.45 million, whereas BlackRock, Bitwise, and Ark & 21Shares contributed to the outflows.

In contrast, ETH ETFs experienced a slight uptick, with $28.1 million in inflows, further strengthening their position at $12.38 billion in total net inflow. BlackRock led with $27.34 million in positive flows, indicating continued interest in Ethereum-focused funds.

Strategic Insights and Future Outlook

Strategic insights suggest a market in a transitional phase, with institutional demand persisting amidst the turbulence. Sygnum Bank’s successful raising of over 750 BTC for its Alpha Fund from institutional investors underscores the appetite for market-neutral strategies that do not rely heavily on Bitcoin’s daily price fluctuations. This fund explores arbitrage opportunities, aiming for consistent gains regardless of the prevailing market trends.

Looking ahead, the crypto market’s trajectory will heavily depend on external economic indicators and geopolitical developments. As Nic Roberts-Huntley, CEO of Blueprint Finance, points out, any shift from speculative gains to renewed focus on fundamentals could signal the next approach in risk sentiment.

As the market steadies itself, stakeholders anticipate a clearer path dictated by fiscal policy and central banking moves, potentially paving the way for digital assets to rally given appropriate macroeconomic clarity.

FAQ

Why is the crypto market down today?

The crypto market declined primarily due to the Federal Reserve’s steady interest rates, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and a lack of new capital flowing into the market. This environment affects investor sentiment, leading to reduced appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.

How are Bitcoin and Ethereum performing?

Bitcoin and Ethereum have both experienced declines today. Bitcoin dropped by 1.7%, trading at $87,820, while Ethereum fell by 2.5%, priced at $2,942. Both coins are showing signs of consolidation, maintaining within specified trading ranges amidst external economic pressures.

What impacts do US interest rates have on crypto?

US interest rates impact cryptocurrencies by influencing investor behavior. A steady rate helps preserve market liquidity without further tightening financial conditions, which can stabilize cryptocurrencies. However, high rates can also cap potential gains by increasing the attractiveness of traditional financial instruments.

How does the geopolitical climate affect cryptocurrencies?

Geopolitical tensions, such as those in the Middle East, can lead to market instability, prompting investors to pull back from high-risk investments like cryptocurrencies. This reluctance to engage impacts overall market performance and sentiment, contributing to declines in value.

What are the future projections for the crypto market?

The crypto market is expected to continue in a consolidation phase, driven by monetary policies and geopolitical conditions. While near-term volatility is likely, long-term prospects depend on economic clarity and a balance between speculative and fundamental market drivers.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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