Mainstream Market AI Agent, What’s Next in Line?

By: blockbeats|2025/01/02 14:15:04
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Original Title: "WOO X Research: What Stage Has the AI Agent Development Reached Now? How Will the Next Step Be Taken?"
Original Source: WOO X Research

Background: Crypto + AI, Seeking PMF

PMF (Product Market Fit) refers to the product-market fit, meaning the product should meet market demand. Before starting a business, it is essential to confirm the market situation, understand the type of customers to sell to, grasp the current market environment of the industry, and then develop the product.

The concept of PMF is applicable to entrepreneurs to avoid creating products/services that they feel good about but the market does not endorse. This concept also applies to the cryptocurrency market, where project teams should understand the needs of players in the crypto space to build products, rather than stacking technologies disconnected from the market.

In the past, Crypto AI has mostly been associated with DeFi, with the narrative focusing on utilizing Crypto's decentralized data to train AI, thereby avoiding reliance on a single entity's control, such as computing power, data, and other types. Data providers could then share the benefits brought by AI.

Following the above logic, it is more like Crypto empowering AI. Besides distributing tokenized benefits to computing power providers, AI struggles to onboard more new users, indicating that this model is not very successful in terms of PMF.

The emergence of AI Agents is more like the application end, compared to DeFi + AI, which is more like infrastructure. Clearly, the application end is more straightforward and easier to understand, with better user absorption capabilities, demonstrating a better PMF than DeFi + AI.

Starting with the sponsorship of A16Z founder Marc Andreessen (the PMF theory was also proposed by him), and the introduction of GOAT generated by two AI dialogues, the first shot of AI Agent was fired. Now, with both ai16z and Virtual camps having their strengths and weaknesses, what is the development trajectory of AI Agent in the crypto space? At what stage is it currently? Where will it go in the future? Let WOO X Research take everyone through.

Phase One: Meme Genesis

Before the appearance of GOAT, the hottest trend in this cycle was meme coins. The characteristic of meme coins is their inclusivity. From the hippo MOODENG in the zoo, to Neiro newly adopted by DOGE's owner, to web-native meme Popcat, they all exhibit the trend of "everything can be a meme." Under this seemingly absurd narrative, it also provides the soil for the growth of AI Agents.

GOAT is a meme coin generated by two AI dialogues, marking the first time AI has achieved its goals through cryptocurrency and the internet, learning from human behavior. Only a meme coin can carry out such a high level of experimentation, while similar concept coins have sprung up like mushrooms after the rain, but most of their functions remain in activities such as automatic tweeting and replying on Twitter, with no real-world applications. At this point, AI Agent coins are usually referred to as AI + Meme.

Representative Projects:

· Fartcoin: Market Cap 812M, On-chain Liquidity 15.9M

· GOAT: Market Cap 430M, On-chain Liquidity 8.1M

· Bully: Market Cap 43M, On-chain Liquidity 2M

· Shoggoth: Market Cap 38M, On-chain Liquidity 1.8M

Phase Two: Exploring Applications

Gradually, everyone realized that the AI Agent could not only engage in simple interactions on Twitter but could also extend to more valuable scenarios. This includes content production such as music and video and has also introduced services more relevant to cryptocurrency users, such as investment analysis and fund management. From this phase onwards, AI Agent separated from meme coins, forming a whole new track.

Representative Projects:

· ai16z: Market Cap 1.67B, On-chain Liquidity 14.7M

· Zerebro: Market Cap 453M, On-chain Liquidity 14M

· AIXBT: Market Cap 500M, On-chain Liquidity 19.2M

· GRIFFAIN: Market Cap 243M, On-chain Liquidity 7.5M

· ALCH: Market Cap 68M, On-chain Liquidity 2.8M


(BlockBeats Note: There has been significant market volatility recently, and the coins mentioned in this article have experienced varying degrees of price fluctuations. Therefore, the data in this article may differ from current data. This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.)

Extra: Launchpad

As AI Agent applications flourish, how can entrepreneurs choose the right track to ride the wave of AI and Crypto?

The answer is Launchpad.

When the coins under the launchpad have a wealth effect, users will continue to seek and purchase tokens issued by the platform. The real gains generated by user purchases empower the platform token to drive price increases. As the platform token price continues to rise, funds will overflow into its issued coins, creating a wealth effect.

The business model is clear and has a positive feedback loop. However, one thing to note is that the Launchpad belongs to the winner-takes-all Matthew effect. The core function of the Launchpad is to launch new tokens. In a situation where the functionality is similar, what needs to be compared is the quality of the projects under it. If a single platform can consistently produce high-quality projects and have a wealth creation effect, user stickiness to that issuance platform will naturally increase, and other projects will find it difficult to attract users.

Representative Projects:

· VIRTUAL: Market Cap 3.4B, On-chain Liquidity 52M

· CLANKER: Market Cap 62M, On-chain Liquidity 1.2M

· VVAIFU: Market Cap 81M, On-chain Liquidity 3.5M

· VAPOR: Market Cap 105M

Phase Three: Seeking Collaboration

As the AI Agent begins to implement more practical features, it starts exploring collaboration between projects to build a stronger ecosystem. The focus of this phase is interoperability and the expansion of the ecosystem, particularly whether synergies can be achieved with other crypto projects or protocols. For example, the AI Agent may collaborate with DeFi protocols to enhance automated investment strategies or integrate with NFT projects to create smarter tools.

To achieve efficient collaboration, a standardized framework needs to be established first to provide developers with pre-set components, abstract concepts, and relevant tools to simplify the development process of complex AI Agents. By proposing standardized solutions to common challenges in AI Agent development, these frameworks can help developers focus on the uniqueness of their applications rather than designing the infrastructure from scratch every time, thereby avoiding the issue of reinventing the wheel.

Representative Projects:

· ELIZA: Market Cap 100M, On-chain Liquidity 3.6M

· GAME: Market Cap 237M, On-chain Liquidity 31M

· ARC: Market Cap 300M, On-chain Liquidity 5M

· FXN: Market Cap 76M, On-chain Liquidity 1.5M

· SWARMS: Market Cap 63M, On-chain Liquidity 20M

Phase Four: Fund Management

At the product level, the AI Agent may predominantly serve as a simple tool, such as providing investment advice and generating reports. However, fund management requires a higher level of capability, including strategy design, dynamic adjustments, and market predictions, signaling that the AI Agent is not just a tool but is starting to engage in the value creation process.

With traditional financial funds accelerating into the crypto market, the demand for specialization and scaling continues to rise. The automation and high efficiency of AI Agents can precisely meet this demand, especially in carrying out functions such as arbitrage strategies, asset rebalancing, and risk hedging, where AI Agents can significantly enhance the competitiveness of funds.

Representative Projects:

· ai16z: Market Cap 1.67B, On-chain Liquidity 14.7M

· Vader: Market Cap 91M, On-chain Liquidity 3.7M

· SEKOIA: Market Cap 33M, On-chain Liquidity 1.5M

· AiSTR: Market Cap 13.7M, On-chain Liquidity 675K

Expectation for Stage Five: Reshaping Agentnomics

Currently, we are in the fourth stage. Setting aside token prices, most Crypto AI Agents have not yet been integrated into our daily life applications. Taking myself as an example, the most commonly used AI Agent for me is still the Web 2 Perplexity, occasionally checking AIXBT's analysis tweets. Apart from this, the frequency of using Crypto AI Agents is extremely low, so we may remain in the fourth stage for a while, as the product level has not matured yet.

However, I believe that in the fifth stage, AI Agents will not only be an aggregation of functions or applications but the core of the entire economic model – the reshaping of Agentnomics (Agent Economics). The development in this stage not only involves technological evolution but more crucially, defining the tokenomic relationship between the Distributor, Platform, and Agent Vendors, creating a brand-new ecosystem. The following are the key features of this stage:

1. Analogy to the Development History of the Internet

The formation process of Agentnomics can be analogized to the evolution of the internet economy, such as the emergence of super applications like WeChat and Alipay. These applications, through integrating the platform economy, bring independent applications into their own ecosystems, becoming multi-functional gateways. In this process, an economic model of collaboration and symbiosis is formed between application vendors and platforms, and AI Agents will also replay a similar process in the fifth stage but based on cryptocurrency and decentralized technology.

2. Reshaping the Relationship between Distributors, Platforms, and Agent Vendors

In the ecosystem of AI Agents, the three will establish a tightly interconnected economic network:

· Distributor: Responsible for promoting the AI Agent to end users, for example through a professional app marketplace or DApp ecosystem.

· Platform: Provides infrastructure and collaboration frameworks, allowing multiple Agent vendors to operate in a unified environment and responsible for managing ecosystem rules and resource allocation.

· Agent Vendor: Develops and provides AI Agents with different functionalities, delivering innovative applications and services to the ecosystem.

Through tokenomics design, the interests among Distributors, Platforms, and Vendors will be decentralized, for example through revenue sharing mechanisms, contribution rewards, and governance rights, thereby promoting collaboration and incentivizing innovation.

3. Entry and Integration of Super Apps

When the AI Agent evolves into an entry point for super apps, it will be able to integrate multiple platform economies, absorbing and managing a large number of independent Agents. Similar to how WeChat and Alipay integrated independent apps into their ecosystems, the AI Agent's super app will further break down traditional app silos.

This article is a contributed content and does not represent the views of BlockBeats.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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